A European Renaissance?

BrexitThe UK Prime Minister Theresa May has delivered her highly anticipated speech in the historic Italian city of Florence.

How far did it move things on?

Truth be told, there was little new in there, and the decision to deliver the speech in Italy rather than London or Brussels remains unclear. Take, for example, Ireland, which along with the issue of EU citizens’ rights and money is a key issue for the EU27. The Prime Minister said:

“The UK government, the Irish government and the EU as a whole have been clear that through the process of our withdrawal we will protect progress made in Northern Ireland over recent years – and the lives and livelihoods that depend on this progress. As part of this, we and the EU have committed to protecting the Belfast Agreement and the Common Travel Area and, looking ahead, we have both stated explicitly that we will not accept any physical infrastructure at the border. We owe it to the people of Northern Ireland – and indeed to everyone on the island of Ireland – to see through these commitments”

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The only certainty with Brexit at the moment, appears to be that there will continue to be uncertainty

The approach in the European Union (Withdrawal) Bill remains the only conceivable way that the UK can both manage to leave the EU and have a working legislative framework on 30 March 2019 by simultaneously repealing the European Communities Act 1972 and incorporating the large body of EU law on which the legal system depends. It passed its first test at the House of Commons with a majority of 36, a majority larger than the government is, even taking the support of the DUP into account. Continue Reading

Meeting with the Migration Advisory Committee − Your Opportunity to Shape Post-Brexit EEA Immigration Policy

Following our request in August for interested organisations’ views and evidence in response to a call for evidence by the Migration Advisory Committee (MAC) on post-Brexit EEA immigration policy, we are pleased to invite you to meet with representatives of the MAC in our London and Birmingham offices.

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UK Government Sets Out Its Position on UK-EU Data Flows

The UK Government has released a position paper, “The exchange and protection of personal data: A future partnership paper” as part of the ongoing Brexit negotiations.

This is one of many papers released by the UK Government last week but is a high priority for both the UK and the EU given the importance of data flows between the two. The continuing uncertainty surrounding data transfers to or through the UK given the country’s looming departure from the bloc is a matter of increasing concern for EU-28 based companies. As the position paper sets out, “any disruption in cross-border data flows would . . . be economically costly to both the UK and the EU.” The report goes on to estimate the cost of such disruption, which is estimated to range between 0.8% and 1.3% of EU GDP.

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Brexit: Time Is of the Essence

Why the Involvement of the ECJ May Become a Stumbling Block

On 29 March 2017 the UK delivered its notice to leave the European Union (EU) pursuant to Article 50 of the Treaty on European Union (TEU). Such notice started the two-year “sunset period”, at the end of which the UK will cease to be a member state of the EU (subject to potentially three exemptions).

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International Air Traffic after Brexit: Time to Fasten Your Seatbelts

AviationThe UK’s triggering of Article 50 on 29 March 2017 means that it will officially cease to be a member of the European Union on 30 March 2019. As this deadline approaches rapidly, there are a multitude of issues to be resolved and legislative tangles to be unscrambled. One such problem area that has received limited media coverage – relative to the Customs Union and the Single Market in general, at least – is that of air traffic rights. Continue Reading

Government Unveils Post-Brexit Customs Paper

BrexitMore than a year has passed since the UK voted to withdraw from the European Union without much clarity ever given to businesses on what the terms of the intra-EU trade with the remaining EU27 would look like post-March 2019.  This has led to many of our clients planning for the worst possible option, i.e. anticipating that at midnight on March 2019, the UK would formally have withdrawn from the EU without an arrangement in place.

However, on 15 August 2017 – a bank holiday for a large part of Europe − the UK government released its most-anticipated “Future customs arrangements paper”: the first of a series of papers setting out the UK government’s thinking on its future relationship with the EU.

We took advantage of a relatively calm week to propose a few thoughts, our immediate reactions to the key issues and questions arising out of the UK government’s strategy. As you will see, the debate is just beginning.

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The UK’s Proposals for EU Citizens – Some Clarity But More Questions

The government yesterday published its Rights of EU Citizens in the UK Policy Paper Factsheet for workers and employers together with detailed proposals setting out its offer to EU nationals currently resident in the UK and those proposing to enter for the purpose of residency, pre-Brexit. Although there is a fair amount of detail to flesh out the announcement made by Theresa May at the EU summit dinner last Thursday, and much depends on the outcome of current negotiations with the other 27 EU States, as indicated in our blog piece at the time, a number of questions remain unanswered. Here are the key points, with our commentary: Continue Reading

EU Citizens’ Rights in the UK – A Number of Unanswered Questions

At a European council summit dinner last night, Theresa May outlined the UK’s offer to secure the rights of EU citizens in the UK.  The key points have been reported as follow:

  • EU citizens with 5 years’ residence in the UK before a cut-off point (expected to be no later than Brexit day) will be eligible for a ‘settled status’ category allowing the same rights to education, healthcare, pensions and benefits as other UK citizens.
  • Those already in the UK with less than 5 years’ residence and who arrive lawfully before the cut-off point will be able to continue to reside in the UK to acquire their settled status.  Details of a two year ‘grace period’ following the cut-off point remain unclear.

The offer is conditional on a reciprocal deal for 1.5 million British citizens living elsewhere in the EU.

The UK’s opening position is arguably a positive step towards an agreement in principle – Angela Merkel has described it as a ‘good start’. Nonetheless, the offer falls far short of the very clear proposals put forward by the EU Commission that EU nationals already in the UK and those arriving before we leave the EU should retain their current rights indefinitely.  There is no mention of a continuing ability to be joined in the UK by non-EU family members and Theresa May has made it clear that any post-Brexit disputes over EU citizens’ rights would be resolved through the UK courts rather than the European Court of Justice.

Whilst the UK’s detailed written proposal on Monday will undoubtedly provide further detail, it needs to address the following questions as a minimum:

  • What additional qualifying criteria beyond 5 years’ residence will apply to this new ‘settled status’?
  • Will the onerous rules on documentation to evidence 5 years’ residence currently applied to EU citizens seeking confirmation of permanent residence in the UK be relaxed?
  • In particular, will those who have spent any part of their 5 years in the UK studying or being financially self-sufficient still be required to demonstrate that they have held comprehensive sickness insurance during those periods?
  • How long will it be before qualifying EU citizens are actually issued with this ‘settled’ status? Theresa May has referred to ‘streamlined administration’ and ‘light-touch’ registration but the administrative hurdles for putting a new system in place are significant, let alone the task of processing millions of applications which is way beyond the Home Office’s current resources.
  • What will be the position of EU citizens who have already acquired permanent residence in the UK through 5 years’ continuous residence in a qualifying status? Should those who already qualify for permanent residence under current rules but do not yet have documentation to confirm their status still apply to the Home Office whilst waiting for the new system to be implemented?

The Prime Minister has emphasised that she does not want anyone already in the UK to be forced to leave or families to be split up but, without the finer detail to deal with these points, we are a long way off providing the certainty being sought by EU citizens and many will see this long awaited ‘guarantee’ as less than generous.

Minority Report

It is fair to say, this is not the result that many were expecting.

Theresa May’s Conservatives, who anticipated an increased number of seats throughout the General Election campaign, find themselves the largest party in Parliament, but without an overall majority. At the time of writing, it appears that the Conservatives have struck a non-formal deal with the Democratic Unionist Party (the largest Northern Irish party, which supports Brexit) to allow Theresa May to continue as prime minister in a minority government.

Even if the Conservatives had increased their majority materially, there was unlikely to be significant additional certainty about what Brexit meant. For a General Election ostensibly called because of Brexit, discussions were limited to which leader was trusted to deliver it, rather than what “it” would look like.

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